Imagined Future Scenarios
Human Rights, Plausible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Target is putting DEI on the chopping block' - Quartz India
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased economic disparity leads to social unrest despite perceived algorithmic fairness.
Technological Impact: AI hiring becomes ubiquitous, optimizing for profit and perpetuating existing workforce compositions.
Ecological Impact: Resource consumption increases as efficient hiring leads to boosted overall production and economic expansion.
Economic Impact: AI-driven efficiencies boost corporate profits, widening wealth inequality due to concentrated ownership.
Political Impact: Governments struggle to regulate AI hiring practices, prioritizing economic growth over equitable outcomes.
Narrative: Unfettered economic growth masks deepening inequalities amplified by unchecked AI hiring practices.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Widespread unemployment and disenfranchisement trigger social fragmentation and distrust in AI systems.
Technological Impact: AI hiring systems fail when faced with societal collapse, leading to widespread joblessness and system breakdown.
Ecological Impact: Ecological degradation and resource scarcity exacerbate economic and social instability, rendering AI hiring irrelevant.
Economic Impact: The collapse of economic systems renders AI hiring algorithms useless; mass unemployment becomes endemic.
Political Impact: Governments collapse or are overthrown due to widespread economic and social unrest fueled by AI-driven job displacement.
Narrative: AI hiring accelerates societal collapse, leading to widespread joblessness, social unrest, and system breakdown.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict social credit systems penalize deviations from AI-defined ideal candidates, reinforcing conformity.
Technological Impact: AI hiring is tightly controlled and monitored by the government to enforce specific social and economic objectives.
Ecological Impact: AI hiring is used to optimize workforce allocation in green industries, promoting sustainable practices, but with limited individual choice.
Economic Impact: State-controlled AI directs labor to preferred sectors, prioritizing stability over innovation and individual prosperity.
Political Impact: Authoritarian regimes use AI hiring to suppress dissent and maintain control over the workforce.
Narrative: A highly controlled society uses AI hiring to enforce social and economic conformity, suppressing individuality and dissent.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: AI-driven hiring reveals and addresses biases, leading to a more equitable and diverse workforce fostering social cohesion.
Technological Impact: AI is used in conjunction with human oversight to promote fairness and mitigate the perpetuation of existing societal inequalities.
Ecological Impact: AI optimizes labor allocation towards sustainable industries and practices, contributing to a circular economy.
Economic Impact: A universal basic income decoupled from AI-driven efficiency promotes economic security and opportunity for all.
Political Impact: Democratic institutions establish robust AI governance frameworks promoting transparency, accountability, and equity.
Narrative: AI-driven hiring, ethically managed, contributes to social and economic transformation, fostering a more equitable and sustainable future.
