Imagined Future Scenarios
Tourism, Possible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from ''Genocide against Greenland': The country's dark history - and does it want Trump?' - BBC News
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased cultural understanding fosters tolerance but risks superficial engagement and commodification of indigenous heritage.
Technological Impact: VR technology becomes ubiquitous and hyper-realistic, enhancing the tourism experience but demanding significant energy consumption.
Ecological Impact: Expanded infrastructure and tourism footprint exacerbate environmental pressures on Greenland's fragile ecosystems.
Economic Impact: Tourism booms, creating jobs and revenue but potentially displacing traditional industries and creating economic dependency.
Political Impact: Government supports and regulates the VR tourism industry, balancing economic benefits with environmental concerns and cultural preservation.
Narrative: VR tourism transforms Greenland into a global destination, providing immersive experiences and economic prosperity, but at a growing environmental cost.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Breakdown of VR infrastructure leads to disillusionment, loss of tourism revenue, and potentially social unrest.
Technological Impact: VR systems malfunction due to climate change-related disruptions or economic downturn, rendering the experience unreliable.
Ecological Impact: Extreme weather events and resource scarcity further damage the tourism industry and Greenland's natural environment.
Economic Impact: Economic collapse occurs due to over-reliance on VR tourism, leading to job losses and social hardship.
Political Impact: Government fails to maintain VR infrastructure and support the tourism sector, causing political instability.
Narrative: Climate change and economic instability cripple Greenland's VR tourism industry, leading to societal collapse and ecological devastation.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict regulations and VR access quotas ensure equitable distribution of benefits and minimize cultural impact on local communities.
Technological Impact: Standardized VR platforms and centralized data management allow for efficient resource allocation and monitoring of user behavior.
Ecological Impact: Carbon tax and strict environmental regulations are imposed on VR tourism to minimize its ecological footprint.
Economic Impact: Government controls VR tourism revenue and reinvests it in sustainable development projects and indigenous cultural programs.
Political Impact: Centralized government authority manages all aspects of VR tourism, ensuring adherence to ethical guidelines and sustainability targets.
Narrative: A planned and regulated VR tourism system prioritizes cultural preservation, environmental sustainability, and equitable distribution of benefits under strict governmental control.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: VR experiences foster genuine empathy and cross-cultural understanding, leading to a deeper appreciation of Greenlandic culture.
Technological Impact: VR transcends simple simulation and becomes a tool for indigenous storytelling and cultural revitalization.
Ecological Impact: VR tourism inspires environmental stewardship and motivates global action to combat climate change.
Economic Impact: VR tourism empowers indigenous communities to control their narrative and benefit directly from cultural heritage.
Political Impact: Indigenous self-governance expands, leveraging VR tourism as a platform for cultural expression and political advocacy.
Narrative: VR tourism sparks a cultural and spiritual reawakening, empowering indigenous communities and inspiring a global commitment to sustainability and cultural preservation.
