Imagined Future Scenarios
Tourism, Possible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'I commuted by helicopter in New York City. It was convenient and luxurious, but I can see why some locals hate the flights.' - Business Insider
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased demand for eVTOL travel and personalized experiences leads to social stratification based on access and customization levels.
Technological Impact: Holographic projection technology becomes increasingly sophisticated, integrated with real-time data, and personalized using extensive user profiling.
Ecological Impact: Increased eVTOL traffic further contributes to air pollution and noise pollution in urban areas despite being framed as eco-friendly.
Economic Impact: The holographic travel guide industry booms, creating new jobs in content creation, software development, and marketing, but exacerbating existing income inequalities.
Political Impact: Governments struggle to regulate the rapidly evolving eVTOL and holographic travel industries, lobbying efforts influence safety standards and accessibility policies.
Narrative: Holographic travel explodes in popularity, driving economic growth but creating deeper societal divides and environmental challenges.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Systemic failures in eVTOL infrastructure and power shortages lead to distrust in technology and a return to traditional tourism models.
Technological Impact: Supply chain disruptions and loss of expertise lead to the decommissioning of holographic systems and a decline in technological innovation.
Ecological Impact: Reduced eVTOL usage due to system failures leads to a temporary decrease in air pollution, but unregulated eco-tourism becomes rampant.
Economic Impact: The collapse of the eVTOL and holographic travel industries causes widespread job losses and economic recession.
Political Impact: Governments become overwhelmed by the scale of the collapse, leading to social unrest and a breakdown of law and order in tourist hotspots.
Narrative: Resource depletion and infrastructure failures cripple the holographic travel industry, ushering in an era of localized and simplified tourism.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Travel is strictly regulated and monitored using holographic guidance, enforcing compliance to predefined tourist routes and behavioral norms.
Technological Impact: Holographic systems are centrally controlled to optimize energy consumption, ensure safety, and disseminate propaganda.
Ecological Impact: eVTOL routes are optimized for minimal environmental impact, with strict quotas enforced to limit access and pollution.
Economic Impact: A centralized governing body dictates pricing and access to eVTOL travel and holographic guides, creating a controlled tourism economy.
Political Impact: The government utilizes holographic travel technology as a tool for surveillance and social control, suppressing dissent and promoting ideological compliance.
Narrative: Holographic travel becomes a tool for societal control, where access and experiences are meticulously managed by a centralized authority for stability and efficiency.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Holographic guides facilitate cross-cultural understanding and empathy, fostering a sense of global citizenship and environmental responsibility.
Technological Impact: Holographic reality blends with augmented consciousness, enabling travelers to transcend physical limitations and experience profound personal transformations.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable energy powers holographic systems and eVTOLs, promoting eco-conscious travel contributing to ecological restoration projects.
Economic Impact: A circular economy model emerges, where holographic experiences are designed for longevity, repairability, and minimal waste, fostering a regenerative tourism industry.
Political Impact: Global cooperation leads to the establishment of universally accessible, sustainable, and transformative travel experiences utilizing holographic technology.
Narrative: Technological advancements and a shift in consciousness usher in an era of sustainable, equitable, and emotionally enriching travel experiences.
