Imagined Future Scenarios
Materials Science, Possible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'LEGO Prosthetic Arm Empowers 8-Year Old with Affordable Accessible Healthcare' - Yanko Design
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased social inclusion and body positivity drive demand for aesthetic and functional enhancing prosthetics.
Technological Impact: Advanced materials science supports rapid prototyping and mass production of customized prosthetic components.
Ecological Impact: Increased demand for raw materials and disposal of outdated prosthetics strains resource management and creates waste.
Economic Impact: A booming at-home prosthetics industry generates new jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities, fueled by readily available technology.
Political Impact: Lax regulations on at-home fabrication lead to quality control issues and potential safety concerns.
Narrative: Prosthetics become ubiquitous, driven by accessibility, affordability and the desire for human augmentation.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Supply chain disruptions limit access to materials and essential components, exacerbating inequalities in prosthetic access.
Technological Impact: Breakdown of infrastructure and expertise hinders the maintenance and advancement of prosthetic technology.
Ecological Impact: Lack of waste management leads to improper disposal of prosthetic materials, causing environmental pollution.
Economic Impact: Economic instability decimates the at-home prosthetics market, leaving many unable to afford or maintain their devices.
Political Impact: Government dysfunction prevents effective regulation or provision of prosthetic care.
Narrative: The DIY prosthetics revolution collapses as crucial systems fail, leaving vulnerable populations without access to necessary support.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict regulations create a standardized but potentially less personalized approach to prosthetics driven by central authorities.
Technological Impact: Centralized control ensures quality standards and enables efficient resource allocation for prosthetic production and distribution.
Ecological Impact: Regulations prioritize sustainable materials and responsible disposal of prosthetic waste, minimizing environmental impact.
Economic Impact: Standardized pricing and centralized procurement create a stable, regulated market for prosthetics benefiting both producers and consumers.
Political Impact: Government agencies exert tight control over prosthetic technology, potentially limiting innovation and individual choice.
Narrative: A centrally-planned system ensures equitable access to prosthetics within a framework of strict control and standardized designs.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Prosthetics become seamlessly integrated with the human body, blurring the lines between natural and artificial, leading to new concepts of identity.
Technological Impact: Bio-integrated prosthetics utilizing advanced bio-printing and neural interfaces revolutionize human augmentation.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable and biodegradable materials eliminate prosthetic waste and minimize environmental impact through circular economy practices.
Economic Impact: Localized, circular economies centered around bio-printing and personalized healthcare transform prosthetic production and delivery.
Political Impact: Ethical frameworks addressing human augmentation and bodily autonomy become central to political discourse.
Narrative: Technological breakthroughs and a shift in values redefine prosthetics as seamlessly integrated, environmentally conscious extensions of the self.