Imagined Future Scenarios
Complexity Science, Plausible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Note on the Relationship Between Artificial Intelligence and Human Intelligence' - Vatican.va
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased access to skilled professionals leads to improved quality of life across various sectors.
Technological Impact: AI simulation technologies proliferate, becoming increasingly sophisticated and widely accessible.
Ecological Impact: Increased demand for computing power and simulation infrastructure contributes to a larger carbon footprint.
Economic Impact: AI-driven training creates a more efficient workforce, boosting productivity and economic output.
Political Impact: Governments invest heavily in AI simulation for public sector training and national security applications.
Narrative: A future of continuous progress where AI-enhanced training leads to widespread skill improvement and accelerated global development.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Over-reliance on simulations leads to a decline in real-world skills and a vulnerability to unexpected scenarios.
Technological Impact: A catastrophic AI failure leads to widespread errors and accidents in crucial professions relying on the simulations.
Ecological Impact: Resource depletion from manufacturing and powering simulation infrastructure exacerbates existing environmental problems.
Economic Impact: Loss of trust in AI simulation leads to economic instability and a reversion to less efficient training methods.
Political Impact: Public backlash against AI technology results in stricter regulations and reduced funding for advanced simulations.
Narrative: A future where dependence on AI simulations backfires, causing catastrophic failures and societal breakdown due to a lack of real-world expertise.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Access to AI simulation training is strictly controlled and standardized based on predefined protocols and performance metrics.
Technological Impact: Centralized AI simulation platforms enforce standardized training curricula and monitor user performance.
Ecological Impact: Energy consumption of AI simulations is optimized and regulated to minimize environmental impact.
Economic Impact: AI training is leveraged to enforce workforce conformity and maximize productivity within established industries.
Political Impact: Governments use AI simulations to train and control public servants adhering to strict procedural protocols and compliance.
Narrative: A future where AI-powered simulations enforce standardized training and performance across professions, creating a highly controlled and predictable workforce.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: AI simulations facilitate personalized learning and skill development, empowering individuals to pursue diverse career paths.
Technological Impact: Emergence of decentralized AI simulation platforms promotes open-source development and collaborative learning across disciplines.
Ecological Impact: Development of sustainable AI algorithms and energy-efficient hardware minimizes the environmental impact of simulations.
Economic Impact: New business models emerge around personalized AI training and skill validation, creating a more agile and adaptable economy.
Political Impact: Democratized access to AI simulation tools empowers citizen participation and informed decision-making in complex policy issues.
Narrative: A future where AI simulations catalyze radical individual empowerment and collective intelligence, leading to a more equitable and sustainable society.
