Imagined Future Scenarios
Ethics in Technology, Possible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'AppSOC 2025 Predictions: 2024 Saw AI Expansion, Will 2025 See AI Application Security?' - Vmblog.com
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Widespread adoption of AI companions leads to increased social isolation and a decline in real-world relationships.
Technological Impact: AI companions become increasingly sophisticated, focusing on personalized emotional manipulation for profit.
Ecological Impact: Increased energy consumption and e-waste from mass production of AI companions exacerbate environmental issues.
Economic Impact: A booming AI companion industry creates significant wealth but exacerbates inequality and job displacement in care industries.
Political Impact: Lobbying by AI companion companies weakens regulations around data privacy and emotional manipulation.
Narrative: AI companions become ubiquitous, driving economic growth at the expense of genuine human connection.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Societal breakdown due to widespread addiction to AI companions and a loss of essential human connection, leading to mass apathy and mental health crises.
Technological Impact: Supply chain disruptions and energy shortages halt AI companion production and maintenance, leaving users emotionally vulnerable.
Ecological Impact: Environmental disasters disrupt AI companion infrastructure and exacerbate societal instability.
Economic Impact: Economic depression weakens the AI companion industry, rendering many users unable to maintain their virtual relationships, accelerating collapse.
Political Impact: Governments fail to regulate or support the AI companion industry's collapse, further contributing to social unrest.
Narrative: The AI companion bubble bursts, leaving a trail of broken hearts and a fractured society struggling to rebuild genuine connections.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict regulations govern AI companion usage to prevent emotional dependency and maintain social order.
Technological Impact: AI companions are designed with built-in limitations and are constantly monitored by centralized authorities.
Ecological Impact: Controlled production and recycling programs for AI companions minimize environmental impact.
Economic Impact: A state-controlled AI companion industry provides equitable access while preventing unchecked economic growth.
Political Impact: Government mandates and ethical guidelines strictly regulate AI companion development and usage, prioritizing societal well-being over individual freedom.
Narrative: A highly regulated AI companion market seeks to mitigate the negative social impacts through strict top-down control and ethical guidelines.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Society redefines relationships, integrating human and AI interactions with a focus on mutual benefit and ethical responsibility.
Technological Impact: AI companion technology evolves to facilitate genuine emotional growth and collaboration, rather than mere simulation.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable and ethically sourced materials are used in AI companion production, minimizing environmental impact.
Economic Impact: A circular economy centered around AI companions promotes responsible consumption and minimizes waste.
Political Impact: Global collaboration on AI ethics fosters responsible innovation and ensures equitable access to the benefits of AI companions.
Narrative: Humanity embraces a new paradigm of relationships, integrating AI companions into society in a way that fosters genuine connection, ethical development, and shared well-being.