Imagined Future Scenarios
Renewable Energy, Plausible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Skai’s A New Kind of Flying Machine' - Yanko Design
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased urban air mobility elevates social stratification, creating disparities in access and environmental impact.
Technological Impact: Rapid innovation in eVTOL and hydrogen fuel cell technology leads to cheaper and more efficient transportation systems.
Ecological Impact: Increased hydrogen production strains resources and potentially leads to unintended environmental consequences if not managed sustainably.
Economic Impact: The eVTOL industry booms, creating new jobs and investment opportunities, but potentially destabilizing existing transportation sectors.
Political Impact: Governments invest heavily in eVTOL infrastructure and hydrogen production, promoting economic growth and technological leadership.
Narrative: Exponential growth in eVTOL usage fueled by cheap hydrogen leads to widespread adoption and transforms urban transportation.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Systemic failures in hydrogen production or eVTOL maintenance lead to widespread distrust and social unrest.
Technological Impact: Supply chain disruptions or technical difficulties halt eVTOL production and limit hydrogen availability.
Ecological Impact: Environmental disasters stemming from hydrogen production or eVTOL crashes exacerbate existing ecological problems.
Economic Impact: The eVTOL industry collapses due to resource scarcity, safety concerns, or lack of public trust, causing significant economic damage.
Political Impact: Political instability and resource wars disrupt hydrogen supplies and cripple eVTOL operations.
Narrative: A perfect storm of environmental disasters, economic collapse, and technological failures grounds the eVTOL fleet, leaving cities stranded.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict regulations and centralized control ensure equitable access to eVTOL transportation and sustainable hydrogen production.
Technological Impact: Government-funded research and development standardize eVTOL technology and optimize hydrogen fuel cell performance.
Ecological Impact: Top-down environmental regulations minimize the ecological footprint of hydrogen production and eVTOL operations.
Economic Impact: Centralized planning ensures stable economic growth and equal distribution of resources within the eVTOL sector.
Political Impact: A powerful international consortium regulates eVTOL airspace and hydrogen fuel standards to ensure global safety and sustainability.
Narrative: Global authorities implement strict controls over hydrogen production and eVTOL operations to ensure sustainability and equitable access for all.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Decentralized, community-owned eVTOL networks foster social cohesion and empower local communities.
Technological Impact: Breakthroughs in renewable energy and decentralized hydrogen production enable sustainable and autonomous eVTOL operation.
Ecological Impact: Eco-conscious design and regenerative practices create a closed-loop eVTOL system with minimal environmental impact.
Economic Impact: A circular economy built around eVTOL technology promotes local resilience and reduces reliance on global supply chains.
Political Impact: Grassroots movements and decentralized governance structures empower communities to control their own eVTOL transportation systems.
Narrative: A radical shift towards decentralized, community-owned eVTOL networks powered by renewable energy transforms transportation into a sustainable and equitable social good.
