Imagined Future Scenarios
Chemistry, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from 'IBM Quantum delivers on 2022 100x100 performance challenge' - Ibm.com
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased global interconnectedness and improved living standards due to efficient energy and transport.
Technological Impact: Rapid advancement in superconducting technologies across various sectors.
Ecological Impact: Initially increased resource consumption, but potentially followed by mitigation of climate change through efficient energy production.
Economic Impact: Booming global economy driven by technological innovation and increased productivity.
Political Impact: Increased international cooperation on resource management and technological development, but potential for resource conflicts.
Narrative: Unfettered economic growth fueled by readily available, cheap, clean energy powered by room-temperature superconductors.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Widespread social unrest due to unequal distribution of benefits from new technologies.
Technological Impact: Technological development stagnates due to resource scarcity and infrastructure failures.
Ecological Impact: Exacerbated environmental damage due to uncontrolled resource extraction and energy consumption.
Economic Impact: Global economic recession or depression triggered by resource constraints and supply chain disruptions.
Political Impact: Increased political instability and conflict over access to resources and energy.
Narrative: Overreliance on superconducting technologies and unsustainable growth leads to a global societal and economic breakdown.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict resource management and equitable distribution resulting in improved social stability.
Technological Impact: Controlled technological development focused on sustainability and global needs.
Ecological Impact: Significant improvement in environment through planned resource usage and waste reduction.
Economic Impact: Stable, if not rapidly growing, global economy based on resource efficiency and sustainability.
Political Impact: Strong global governance with robust regulatory frameworks to oversee technology development and resource allocation.
Narrative: A global effort to manage resource consumption and technological progression leads to a sustainable but less dynamic future.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Fundamental shift in human values leading to greater focus on sustainability and community.
Technological Impact: Decentralized energy production and localized transportation systems emerge.
Ecological Impact: Significant ecological regeneration due to reduced consumption and emission levels.
Economic Impact: Emergence of a new economic model based on circular economy principles and social equity.
Political Impact: New forms of governance emphasizing community participation and ecological stewardship.
Narrative: Room-temperature superconductors catalyze a profound societal shift towards ecological sustainability and decentralized power structures.