Improved quantum algorithms enable the precise simulation of complex molecules, aiding in the design of new drugs and materials in three to five years.

Imagined Future Scenarios

Chemistry, Probable Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)

Scenario Generated from 'IBM Quantum delivers on 2022 100x100 performance challenge' - Ibm.com

Future Arc and Implications

Grow Arc

Social Impact: Increased life expectancy and quality of life due to advanced medicine and materials.

Technological Impact: Accelerated development of new drugs, materials, and manufacturing processes.

Ecological Impact: Increased resource consumption and pollution from intensified production.

Economic Impact: Booming pharmaceutical and materials industries, creating new jobs and wealth.

Political Impact: Globalization intensifies as nations compete for technological and economic dominance.

Narrative: Unprecedented economic growth driven by rapid advancements in drug and material science.

Collapse Arc

Social Impact: Widespread health crises due to unequal access to advanced medicine and resource scarcity.

Technological Impact: Stagnation of technological advancement due to resource constraints and societal breakdown.

Ecological Impact: Severe environmental degradation and resource depletion exacerbate societal collapse.

Economic Impact: Global economic depression caused by supply chain disruptions and loss of trust.

Political Impact: Rise of authoritarianism and conflict due to resource scarcity and social unrest.

Narrative: Societal breakdown due to unsustainable resource consumption and unequal access to technological advancements.

Discipline Arc

Social Impact: Centralized control over healthcare and material production leads to increased social equity but limited individual freedom.

Technological Impact: Steady, planned development of new drugs and materials, prioritized for societal benefit.

Ecological Impact: Controlled resource consumption and minimized environmental impact through strict regulations.

Economic Impact: Stable but centrally planned economy focusing on sustainability and social welfare.

Political Impact: Global governance structures manage resource allocation and technological development.

Narrative: A carefully managed future where technological advancements are harnessed for the collective good.

Transform Arc

Social Impact: Radical societal shifts driven by personalized medicine & bio-integrated materials, altering notions of health & identity.

Technological Impact: Emergence of entirely new paradigms in chemistry and materials science, possibly surpassing current understanding.

Ecological Impact: Development of sustainable and bio-integrated materials, reducing environmental impact.

Economic Impact: Decentralized production models based on personalized needs and distributed manufacturing.

Political Impact: Shift towards bioregionalism and decentralized governance structures.

Narrative: A revolutionary future where bio-integrated materials and personalized medicine redefine human experience.

Product ideas generated based on this scenario

Personalized Medicine Subscription Box

A monthly subscription delivering customized medication and supplements based on individual genetic profiles and real-time health data, tracked via a wearable biosensor.

Smart Materials Manufacturing Platform

A cloud-based platform connecting designers, material scientists, and manufacturers, enabling rapid prototyping and on-demand production of high-performance, customized materials using AI-driven optimization.

Decentralized Bioreactor Network

A network of localized bioreactors producing essential medicines and nutrients using readily available resources, providing access to healthcare even in remote or resource-scarce areas.

Resilient Materials Recycling System

A community-based system for collecting, processing, and repurposing valuable materials from discarded products, promoting circular economy principles and reducing resource dependency.

Global Material Allocation System

A globally coordinated system for allocating and distributing essential materials and medicines based on societal needs and environmental impact assessments, maximizing efficiency and minimizing waste.

Universal Healthcare Access Platform

A digital platform connecting patients with healthcare providers and resources worldwide, ensuring fair access to advanced medical treatments regardless of location or socioeconomic status.

Bio-Integrated Medical Implants

Advanced implants that seamlessly integrate with the body, providing continuous health monitoring, personalized drug delivery, and even enhancing human capabilities.

Living Materials Construction

Construction materials grown from living organisms, creating self-healing, sustainable structures that adapt to their environment and require minimal maintenance.

Projects inspired by this scenario

What if algorithmic systems dictate our health?

The Belarusian Apothecary: A speculative glimpse into 2028, where personalized pharmaceuticals are cultivated within a HyperRail transit hub, raising questions about algorithmic healthcare and individual autonomy.

What if throwing away your phone or laptop was a thing of the past?

Adaq: A Symbiotic Economy: In 2028 Brunei, AI-guided craft and localized chemistry birth a symbiotic economy, replacing mass-produced electronics with personalized, bio-integrated sensory patches.