Imagined Future Scenarios
Quantum Computing, Probable Futures, Short Term (1 - 3 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Banks can’t wait for quantum advantage to start preparing for the quantum age' - Retailbankerinternational.com
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased financial security and reduced fraud lead to greater societal trust in financial institutions, but also increased surveillance.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing becomes a ubiquitous utility, driving innovation across multiple sectors.
Ecological Impact: Increased efficiency in resource allocation and supply chains slightly reduces environmental impact.
Economic Impact: Significant economic growth fueled by quantum-enhanced financial services, but also widening economic inequality.
Political Impact: Governments grapple with regulating a powerful new technology and its implications for national security and data privacy.
Narrative: Quantum computing integration into finance boosts global economic growth, but creates new social and political challenges.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Widespread financial instability and social unrest follow a major quantum-based security breach.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing infrastructure is overwhelmed and crashes, disrupting global financial systems.
Ecological Impact: Resource depletion accelerates due to the failure of efficient resource management systems.
Economic Impact: A global financial crisis ensues, leading to widespread economic devastation.
Political Impact: Governments struggle to maintain order amidst widespread chaos and social breakdown.
Narrative: Over-reliance on quantum-enhanced financial systems precipitates a societal and economic collapse.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Highly controlled and regulated financial systems, emphasizing security and stability over individual freedoms.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing development is strictly monitored and controlled by a central authority.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable resource management is enforced through strictly monitored resource allocation powered by quantum algorithms.
Economic Impact: A centrally planned economy, leveraging quantum computing for optimized resource allocation and production.
Political Impact: Authoritarian governments maintain tight control over financial systems and quantum computing technology.
Narrative: A global authority uses quantum computing to strictly manage all aspects of finance and resource distribution.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Decentralized financial systems emerge, leveraging blockchain and quantum computing for enhanced security and transparency.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing empowers a new era of decentralized and democratized technology.
Ecological Impact: Quantum algorithms optimize resource utilization, leading to a more sustainable global ecosystem.
Economic Impact: A new economic model emerges, prioritizing social equity and environmental sustainability.
Political Impact: Governance structures adapt to reflect the decentralized and participatory nature of the new technological landscape.
Narrative: Quantum computing fosters a paradigm shift towards decentralized finance and sustainable economic practices.
