Imagined Future Scenarios
Quantum Computing, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from '6 Mistakes IT Teams Are Guaranteed To Make In 2025' - Forbes
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Widespread adoption of advanced materials leads to improved living standards and infrastructure, but also exacerbates resource depletion.
Technological Impact: Rapid advancements in quantum computing and materials science drive continuous innovation in construction and manufacturing.
Ecological Impact: Increased production and consumption strain resources and generate substantial waste, potentially harming ecosystems.
Economic Impact: Massive economic growth fueled by new industries and improved efficiency, but also increasing inequality.
Political Impact: Global competition for resources and technological dominance intensifies, leading to geopolitical instability.
Narrative: Unprecedented growth in construction and manufacturing driven by quantum-enhanced materials, leading to a prosperous but unsustainable world.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Social unrest and economic hardship emerge due to resource scarcity and the unequal distribution of benefits from advanced materials.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing technology becomes fragmented and unreliable, hindering further development of new materials.
Ecological Impact: Environmental damage from unsustainable production practices surpasses planetary limits, causing widespread ecological collapse.
Economic Impact: Global economic recession and potential societal breakdown due to resource depletion and collapsing infrastructure.
Political Impact: Political systems fail to adapt to the crisis, leading to instability, conflict, and potentially societal collapse.
Narrative: Over-reliance on unsustainable production methods using quantum-enhanced materials results in a global societal and ecological collapse.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict resource management and equitable distribution of advanced materials are implemented through global cooperation.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing research is heavily regulated to ensure sustainable development of materials and minimize environmental impact.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable production practices and stringent environmental controls minimize the ecological footprint of advanced materials.
Economic Impact: Global economic growth is prioritized alongside sustainability, leading to greater economic equality, but potentially slower economic gains.
Political Impact: Global governance structures are established to oversee the development and deployment of advanced materials, ensuring equitable access and sustainability.
Narrative: A planned economy focused on sustainability utilizes quantum materials to build a stable but less dynamic world.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: New societal structures and values emerge, prioritizing sustainability, community, and regenerative practices.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing drives the development of bio-integrated and self-healing materials, merging technology with nature.
Ecological Impact: Advanced materials become integral to ecological restoration and climate change mitigation efforts.
Economic Impact: A shift away from traditional economic models towards circular economy and localized production systems.
Political Impact: Decentralized, participative governance structures emerge, fostering sustainability and community resilience.
Narrative: Quantum-enhanced materials usher in a new era characterized by ecological harmony, sustainable development and radical societal transformation.
