Imagined Future Scenarios
Quantum Computing, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Prediction: 2025 is the year quantum computing advances from physical qubits to logical qubits' - TechRadar
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Personalized medicine leads to increased longevity and health disparities decrease due to wider access.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing drives exponential advancements in biotechnology, materials science, and AI.
Ecological Impact: Increased efficiency in resource management and industrial processes reduces environmental impact, but increased consumption offsets gains.
Economic Impact: Massive economic growth driven by new industries based on quantum-enabled technologies and personalized medicine.
Political Impact: Global competition intensifies for quantum computing dominance and access to its benefits; international cooperation is vital for equitable distribution.
Narrative: Unprecedented economic prosperity and technological advancement fueled by widespread adoption of quantum-enhanced biotechnology.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Inequitable access to quantum-enhanced healthcare exacerbates existing social fractures, leading to unrest.
Technological Impact: Overreliance on complex quantum systems creates vulnerabilities; a catastrophic failure cascades through interdependent systems.
Ecological Impact: Environmental degradation intensifies despite quantum-enhanced efficiency due to unsustainable consumption and resource depletion.
Economic Impact: Economic collapse due to system failures and resource scarcity, worsening existing inequalities.
Political Impact: Global instability and conflict erupt as nations compete for dwindling resources and control over quantum technologies.
Narrative: Societal and ecological collapse triggered by a combination of technological failure and unsustainable resource consumption.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Strict regulation and resource allocation ensure equitable access to quantum-enhanced medicine and technologies.
Technological Impact: Technological development is tightly controlled, prioritizing sustainability and societal benefit over profit.
Ecological Impact: Sustained environmental improvements are made through careful resource management and controlled technological deployment.
Economic Impact: A planned economy ensures equitable distribution of resources and access to advanced technologies, reducing inequality.
Political Impact: Global governance structures and international cooperation are strengthened to manage the risks and benefits of quantum computing.
Narrative: A tightly managed global system effectively utilizes quantum advancements for sustainable human development and equitable resource allocation.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: A profound shift in societal values emphasizes human flourishing over material wealth, driven by quantum-enhanced understanding of consciousness.
Technological Impact: Quantum computing fundamentally alters our understanding of reality and enables breakthroughs in consciousness research and human augmentation.
Ecological Impact: A profound shift towards ecological harmony arises from a deeper understanding of interconnectedness through quantum simulations.
Economic Impact: Traditional economic systems are largely replaced with decentralized, collaborative models focused on well-being and sustainability.
Political Impact: Decentralized governance structures emerge, emphasizing community empowerment and global cooperation for mutual benefit.
Narrative: A fundamental transformation of human society driven by quantum-enhanced understanding of consciousness and a paradigm shift towards ecological harmony and interconnectedness.
